Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 65% on 11 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2025 to 14 Oct 2025, the highest close was 65% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 49.5% on 14 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 49.5% on 14 Oct 2025. $14.64K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Oct 2025 – 14 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | 65.0% |
| 14 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CoronaBeerious | Yes | 2K |
| yellowcorn | Yes | 601.17 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 216 |
| Short-Term-Borrower | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a speech at the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) entitled "Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy" at October 14, 2025, 12:20 PM ET (see https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the scheduled remarks at the specified event on October 14. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, or a 1 on 1 immediately following the speech, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If the appearance has not aired in its entirety by October 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled by Jerome Powell, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zVz8NdFQ-o
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-his-speech-on-october-14
| flawlessregi | Yes | 150 |
| kanz | Yes | 90 |
| Ather.sol | Yes | 80 |
| lissartter | Yes | 70.36 |
| Proper-Bin | Yes | 59.09 |
| BIsLosingMoney | Yes | 52.5 |
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