Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2025 to 10 Dec 2025, the highest close was 43% on 2 Nov 2025 and the lowest 16.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 38.5% on 18 Nov 2025. $4.15K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 1 Nov 2025 – 10 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | 40.5% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on December 10, 2025, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by December 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zzh5UbmN6Bg
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-december-press-conference
| Yes |
| 59.35 |
| wartaal | Yes | 39.42 |
| tolun | Yes | 36 |
| Worried-Hiking | Yes | 27.27 |
| hp1ilo | Yes | 16.67 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| Some-Recollection | Yes | 13.64 |
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