Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 362.6 | $0.185 | $48.95 | -$18.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 33.67 |
| $0.148 |
| $4.55 |
| -$0.46 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 83.78 | $0.048 | $2.97 | -$1.03 |
 Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.002 |
| $2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9.7 | $0.377 | $3.66 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 876.39 | $0.001 | $0.88 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | buy | 74.62 | $0.026 | $1.94 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.53 | $0.300 | $3.16 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29?No | buy | 86.93 | $0.023 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.087 | $3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.048 | $3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.320 | $3.37 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 42.85 | $0.180 | $7.71 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.008 | $3 | May 17, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.33 | $0.148 | $3.76 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.021 | $3 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 296.54 | $0.005 | $1.48 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.031 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 20?No | buy | 138.02 | $0.036 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 20?Yes | buy | 836.32 | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?No | sell | 21.86 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.190 | $1.19 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?No | buy | 21.86 | $0.046 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50.71 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |