Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 28.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 28 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2025 to 29 Jan 2025, the highest close was 37.5% on 28 Jan 2025 and the lowest 28.5% on 29 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 28.5% on 29 Jan 2025. $13.78K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 10:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Jan 2025 – 29 Jan 2025, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2025 | 37.5% |
| 29 Jan 2025 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Franksinacho1 | No | 13.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Artificial Intelligence (e.g. "OpenAI" would count). If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-january-press-conference
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