Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80.3%. Yes opened at 13% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 45.1% on 28 Feb 2025 and the lowest 3.4% on 27 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 45.1% on 28 Feb 2025. $8.98K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 13.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 19.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hotlneblng | Yes | 93.51 |
| RiskOn | No | 0.03 |
| epstes | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Portnoy launches a token with the ticker "$greed3" by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Spellings of "$greed3" with alternate capitalizations will count toward this market's resolution, but the letters must spell "$greed3" in that exact order. Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by David Portnoy, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The token must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-portnoy-launch-greed3-in-february
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