Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 22 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 145 daily closes on record from 22 May 2025 to 13 Oct 2025, the highest close was 91.5% on 13 Oct 2025 and the lowest 8.5% on 29 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 79 points up, to 88% on 12 Oct 2025. $20.75K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 145 points, 22 May 2025 – 13 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2025 | 52.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 57 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 27 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Pope Leo XIV between May 20, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Pope Leo XIV are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-pope-leo-xiv-meet-with-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.
| Sylendriel | No | 2.17 |
| Eshed | No | 1.05 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | No | 0.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
