Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 40% on 22 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 226 daily closes on record from 22 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 40% on 22 May 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 7.5% on 23 May 2025. $10.33K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 226 points, 22 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2025 | 40.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 453 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 248.99 |
| Anjun | Yes | 221.01 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Pope Leo XIV between May 20, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Pope Leo XIV are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-pope-leo-xiv-meet-with-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 162 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 156.92 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 154.98 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 104 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 89 |
| adamsibal | Yes | 57.14 |
| luuuur | Yes | 55.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
