Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 27 Dec 2023. Before it settled, the high was 95.5% on 13 Mar 2024 and the low 50% on 11 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 95.5% on 9 May 2024. $5.37K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 27 Dec 2023 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2023 | 65.5% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 95.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cryptophil | No | 150 |
| Sendscho | No | 12.74 |
| 7153649820 | Yes | 0.04 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pope Francis (born Jorge Mario Bergoglio) remains the Pope without interruption from December 25, 2023 through June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Vatican (ex: https://www.vatican.va/content/vatican/en.html, https://twitter.com/Pontifex, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-pope-francis-remain-pope-through-june-30
| Yes |
| 0.01 |
| LeeroyPredictions | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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