Will Poilievre say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$13.3K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 18, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 18 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.3%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 15 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2025 to 18 Apr 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Apr 2025 and the lowest 9% on 16 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 9% on 16 Apr 2025. $13.25K traded over the market's life.

2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 19, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 15 Apr 2025 – 18 Apr 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Apr 2025	50.5%
18 Apr 2025	9.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
maximusmax	Yes	763.72
RobiJK	Yes	250

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The dates for the party leaders' debates in the 2025 Canadian federal election have been set, with the English-language debate scheduled for April 17, 2025, at 7:00 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://globalnews.ca/news/11095091/canada-election-2025-leaders-debates/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre says the listed term during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of event.

Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqmPWdfR4BA