Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 81% on 1 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 115 daily closes on record from 1 May 2025 to 23 Aug 2025, the highest close was 100% on 20 Aug 2025 and the lowest 79.5% on 2 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 94.8% on 3 May 2025. $114.64K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 12:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 115 points, 1 May 2025 – 23 Aug 2025, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2025 | 81.0% |
| 23 Aug 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 5m4 | No | 5.14K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 2.07K |
| SmeetyBoop | No | 1.82K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is officially sworn in as a sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the House of Commons of Canada between April 30, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary source for resolution will be the official records of the Parliament of Canada (https://www.ourcommons.ca/Members/en), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-poilievre-regain-a-seat-in-canadian-parliament-in-2025
| No |
| 1.19K |
| Islamobama | No | 1.1K |
| BabyYoda12 | No | 1.02K |
| sipma | No | 1K |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 696.55 |
| immeasur | No | 635.93 |
| Barbed8293 | No | 503.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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