
Resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56%. Yes opened at 49% on 26 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 77% on 13 Dec 2025 and the lowest 49% on 26 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 73.5% on 12 Dec 2025. $534.38 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 26 Nov 2025 – 18 Dec 2025, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 49.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 56.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 25, 2025, 16:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-plasma-hit-before-2027
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