Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 15 points from 18% when the market opened on 25 Nov 2025.
The high was 18% on 25 Nov 2025 and the low 1.8% on 31 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.5%; a month ago, 2.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 8% on 26 Nov 2025.
It is one of 11 markets under “What price will Plasma hit in 2026?”.
$2.66K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $250.64, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 94 trades, $37.48 bought Yes and $1.24K bought No.
The largest Yes position is planktonXD with 243 shares; the largest No position is amis with 220. Ten wallets hold 80.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 81 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 4:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 317 points · 25 Nov 2025 – 9 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 18.0% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| planktonXD | Yes | 242.51 |
| amis | No | 220.22 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 187.07 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-plasma-hit-before-2027
| Keen Harbor B560 |
| Yes |
| 168.79 |
| technician2 | Yes | 92.87 |
| elpredictoooor | No | 90 |
| AJSV | Yes | 73.11 |
| 58dgfd | Yes | 31.82 |
| vamosalaplaya | No | 30.01 |
| SaucePolly1 | Yes | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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