Will Philippe Brun win the first round of the French Socialist primary?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 11, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$395

Resolved

Settled

Oct 11, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 11 Oct 2026, the highest close was 27.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 1.1% on 11 Sep 2026. $394.61 traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 9:50 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.31K
balthazar	Yes	420
123987456	Yes	161.14

10 of 16 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.