Analytics
Yes is at 32%, down 5 points from 37% when the market opened on 4 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 38.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 33% on 6 Nov 2026. The current quote, 32%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 33% on 6 Nov 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028”.
$50 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $96.71, with a 62.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is VonVonagh with 50 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 50.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | 37.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 33.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
South Carolina is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the South Carolina public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Republican convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-presidential-republican-primary-winner-202610284
7 more markets, none above 33.0%.
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