Resolved No on 7 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 7 Aug 2026, the highest close was 4.5% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Aug 2026. $1.98K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 7 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 4.3% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.02K |
| balthazar | Yes | 659.93 |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood | Yes | 296.01 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 242.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Ariana Grande's new album 'Petal' is expected to release July 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Ariana Grande's album 'Petal', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Petal' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ariana-grande-petal-first-week-album-sales-20260720201000783
| e46m3 | Yes | 121.06 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Violet Meteor 1B7C | Yes | 85 |
| soliton137 | Yes | 51.04 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 25.08 |
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