Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 96.9% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 24 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 48.6% on 15 Dec 2025. $73.19K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 96.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.5K |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | No | 900 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 539 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the listed participant with the highest PnL at the end of the Defi App trading competition starting on November 10, 2025. The resolution source will be the Defi App Leaderboard on https://app.defi.app/contest. If two or more participants are tied for the highest PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in alphabetical order on the official Defi App leaderboard. If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Defi App. If no such data becomes available by January 31, 2026 ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” Note: The official competition includes a large number of participants, however this market will resolve solely based on the listed group of KOL participants. Traders who are not eligible KOLs will not be considered. An eligible KOL will be considered to have won if they are the top trader out of eligible KOLs, regardless of if one of the non-KOL participants finishes ahead of them.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-defi-app-trading-competition
| No |
| 322 |
| Shure | No | 264 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 249 |
| Ordinary-Care | No | 221.13 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 207 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 198 |
| sunshines | No | 131.25 |
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