Analytics
Yes is at 31.5%, up 6.5 points from 25% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 13.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
3-6 points behind is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “Peggy Flanagan runs behind Amy Klobuchar by...?”, ahead of 0-3 points behind at 31%.
$150.3 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.77K since listing. The order book holds $20.77K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 81 trades, $194.16 bought Yes and $608.76 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Antony82 with 165 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 400. Ten wallets hold 95.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 400.06 |
| Antony82 | Yes | 165 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 127.12 |
The 2026 Minnesota general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. Peggy Flanagan is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Minnesota, and Amy Klobuchar is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Minnesota. This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Peggy Flanagan’s vote share in the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate election falls below Amy Klobuchar’s vote share in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election. If Flanagan’s vote share exceeds Klobuchar’s, this market will resolve to “Runs ahead”. Each candidate’s vote share will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for that candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in that candidate’s respective race, including write-in votes, calculated from the certified vote totals without rounding. For a race that includes a runoff, ranked-choice, or other multi-round process, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate. If the reported difference falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the two vote shares are equal, this market will resolve to “0-3 points behind.” If either candidate withdraws or is otherwise removed from the general election ballot such that they receive no recorded votes, or if a candidate’s vote share cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. The resolution source for this market will be the certified results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peggy-flanagan-runs-behind-amy-klobuchar-by
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 117 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 76.85 |
| Haradwaith | No | 61.8 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 29.85 |
| nagibator01 | Yes | 20.8 |
| 123987456 | Yes | 20 |
| Oneark | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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