Will Paul Bondar be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 23, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 23, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 22% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 23 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24.2% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 0.5% on 5 Mar 2026.

27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 1:53 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 23 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Feb 2026	22.0%
23 Mar 2026	1.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.08K
FrankyFourFingers	Yes	394.32
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
youzhuoci	Yes	149.09

10 of 27 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.