Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 92 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 1.6% on 24 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Aug 2026. $1.33M traded over the market's life.
270 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 7:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 1.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.37M |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 755.47K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 346.27K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 341.37K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 329.25K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 158.29K |
| balthazar | Yes | 156.35K |
| Llovani | Yes | 116.9K |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | Yes | 100K |
| Cobalt Atlas A4C2 | Yes | 74.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
