Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.7%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 246 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 15 Sep 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.7% on 15 Sep 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 57.4% on 4 Sep 2026. $1.32K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 16, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 246 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 15 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 48.5% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | 98.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 812.58 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
| katanaAob | No | 100 |
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season. If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback. This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chiefs-week-1-starting-qb-in-2026
| 48xsds | No | 82.58 |
| a5533 | No | 50 |
| Handmade-Jumbo-Brief | No | 45.5 |
| Rain-Prob-01 | No | 33.44 |
| PPMT | No | 30.02 |
| Mojito9 | No | 19.94 |
| 50sad | Yes | 15.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
