Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 30 points from 30% when the market opened on 22 Apr 2026.
Across the 186 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.3% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 37.3% on 29 Apr 2026.
Parker Messick ranks 25th of the 27 outcomes in “MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner”. Cam Schlittler leads at 98.4%; Dylan Cease is at 0.7%.
$28.53K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.56K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 119 trades, $151.93 bought Yes and $12.41K bought No; the largest was a $11.43K buy of No at 95.5¢.
The largest Yes position is LiquidatedDegen with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.7K. Ten wallets hold 90.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 12 Nov 2026, 14 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 186 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 30.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.68K |
| LiquidatedDegen | Yes | 2.31K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 293.62 |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-al-cy-young-winner
14 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| plainfolder | Yes | 269.1 |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 254.82 |
| loyaltoyal | Yes | 193 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| balthazar | Yes | 129.99 |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 120.16 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 120 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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