Analytics
Yes is at 25.4%, up 23 points from 2.2% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 78 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.4% on 15 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.2% on 8 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.4%; a month before, 5.2%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 5.2% on 16 Sep 2026.
Paraguay ranks second of the 6 outcomes in “Country To Be Removed as Host of 2030 World Cup?”. Uruguay leads at 25.4%; Portugal is at 25.2%.
$586.53 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $267.98, with a 48.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is justmeandme with 31 shares; the largest No position is chessplayer with 54.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 2.2% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 25.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chessplayer | No | 54.45 |
| justmeandme | Yes | 31 |
| Anjun | Yes | 20.25 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if FIFA announces the removal of the listed country as a host nation of the 2030 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately result in a “Yes” resolution for this market. Later retractions or alterations to a qualifying announcement will not affect the resolution of this market. If a qualifying announcement is not made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/country-to-be-removed-as-host-of-2030-world-cup-20260807013851002
| lolzzzlol |
| Yes |
| 3.37 |
| Grinder777 | No | 0.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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