Analytics
Yes is at 12.6%, up 10 points from 2.4% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 78 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.4% on 15 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 8 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12.9%; a month before, 25%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 25.6% on 7 Sep 2026.
Argentina ranks fourth of the 6 outcomes in “Country To Be Removed as Host of 2030 World Cup?”. Uruguay leads at 25.4%; Paraguay is at 25.4%.
The order book holds $231.13, with a 24.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 9:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 2.4% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 12.6% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if FIFA announces the removal of the listed country as a host nation of the 2030 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately result in a “Yes” resolution for this market. Later retractions or alterations to a qualifying announcement will not affect the resolution of this market. If a qualifying announcement is not made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/country-to-be-removed-as-host-of-2030-world-cup-20260807013851002
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