Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 37% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 9% on 3 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 69 points up, to 78% on 4 Mar 2026.
153 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 4:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 37.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 3cwqdq | No | 200K |
| gapodio | No | 90K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 39.72K |
| lopop | No | 30K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which Paredex launches its governance token. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Paradex (https://www.paradex.trade/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-paradex-token-launch-be
| Area52 | No | 30K |
| newer | No | 11.5K |
| Actual-Honeybee | No | 10.78K |
| lukaloo | No | 10.5K |
| Shameless-Certificate | No | 10K |
| Sattah | No | 5.31K |
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