Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 64.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 73.5% on 13 Mar 2026 and the low 47.5% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 69.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 4:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 4 Mar 2026 – 16 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Single-Chairlift | No | 3K |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| wendypeekaboo | No | 100 |
| Slimey | No | 26.32 |
| Lufelola | No | 26.27 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 18 |
| Impish-Bather | No | 12.5 |
| variablez | No | 7.6 |
| cassiusclay123 | No | 5.39 |
| Saldivva | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such stream is aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the official ABC broadcast of this event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-during-the-oscars
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
