Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 178.54 | $0.830 | $148.19 | May 9, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 66.03 |
| $0.780 |
| $51.5 |
| May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 43.15 | $0.770 | $33.23 | May 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 188.52 | $0.965 | $181.97 | May 7, 2026 |
 Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No | sell | 41 | $0.921 | $37.78 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 36.57 | $0.588 | $21.51 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | sell | 26.53 | $0.950 | $25.2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.314 | $7.14 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.943 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.947 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.941 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 130.78 | $0.023 | $3.04 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.48 | $0.271 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.45 | $0.271 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.66 | $0.268 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.66 | $0.268 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.65 | $0.268 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.88 | $0.265 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 19.01 | $0.263 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 20.74 | $0.206 | $4.26 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No | buy | 21 | $0.792 | $16.64 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 20.75 | $0.241 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | sell | 17.52 | $0.725 | $12.7 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 35.54 | $0.719 | $25.55 | May 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 32.76 | $0.720 | $23.59 | May 5, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.390 | $5.13 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.510 | $9.27 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | sell | 44.27 | $0.840 | $37.19 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 11.35 | $0.900 | $10.22 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | sell | 69.21 | $0.260 | $17.99 | May 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.062 | $11.48 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | sell | 115.14 | $0.310 | $35.69 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 7.79 | $0.710 | $5.53 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.210 | $8.75 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | sell | 44.45 | $0.250 | $11.11 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Small Business Summit?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Loan" during Small Business Summit?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |