Analytics
Yes is at 2%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Aug 2026.
Across the 62 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.9%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26% on 10 Sep 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Premium Liiga (Estonia): Teams relegated (2026)”.
$290.9 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $320.56, with a 3.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is flexer78 with 77 shares; the largest No position is Original-Eternity with 223.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Original-Eternity | No | 222.91 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 76.92 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 60 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Premium Liiga (Estonia) at the conclusion of the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Premium Liiga (Estonia) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Premium Liiga (Estonia). If the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Premium Liiga (Estonia). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/premium-liiga-estonia-teams-relegated-2026
| Numitus1994 |
| Yes |
| 21 |
| Jam-Packed-Fingerling | Yes | 20 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 20 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 11.99 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 8 |
| pppnn | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
