Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 32% on 25 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 32% on 25 Sep 2025 and the low 0.3% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 10% on 26 Sep 2025. $8.06K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 38 points · 25 Sep 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2025 | 32.0% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.32K |
| reasoningTokens | Yes | 391.33 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 241.19 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 219 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In May 2025, Luke Nichols announced he was ending regular Outdoor Boys uploads to ease the stress of fame and spend more time with his family. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Outdoor Boys posts a YouTube video between September 24 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Outdoor Boys' main YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@OutdoorBoys/videos). Note: This market refers to Outdoor Boys' regular posted videos. Shorts, previews, or videos on platforms other than YouTube will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-outdoor-boys-post-another-video-by-october-31
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 197.12 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 24 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 16 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 11 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 10 |
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