Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61%. Yes opened at 23% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 10 Jan 2026, the highest close was 39% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 23% on 9 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 39% on 10 Jan 2026. $30.11K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 10 Jan 2026, chart shows 15%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 23.0% |
| 10 Jan 2026 | 39.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oak | Yes | 2.15K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.06K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 311 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winning teams in the 2026 CFP semifinal games scheduled for January 8-9, 2026. If any of the listed games are postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If any of the listed games ends is cancelled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the CFP.
Resolution source: https://collegefootballplayoff.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-cfp-semifinals-parlays
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 158 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 115 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 109 |
| zxcursed121 | Yes | 88.88 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 67 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
