Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 20 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 20 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 0.7% on 21 Nov 2025. $38.43K traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 1, 12:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | 48.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.35K |
| bigbetben | Yes | 5K |
| Blissful-Law | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2025, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-november
| Yes |
| 2K |
| whyham | Yes | 1.7K |
| KlimaRUG | Yes | 1.14K |
| noneeds | Yes | 1K |
| Corny-Wear | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 914.97 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
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