Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 31 Jan 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 5% on 25 Dec 2025. $220.44K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 2:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 31 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 45.5% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 73.55K |
| rated | Yes | 12.11K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 4.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-january
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| Studious-Hybridisation | Yes | 1K |
| k1tten | Yes | 520 |
