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Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 19?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

No

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$23.4K

Resolved

No

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	118.43K	0.0%	$0
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	2.25K	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 12:55 PM UTC
0x601d	Yes	2.12K	2.4%	$50	Dec 11, 6:59 AM UTC
0x99db	Yes	1.46K	3.4%	$50	Dec 9, 4:38 PM UTC
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	927.99	0.1%	$0.93
Heavy-Savage	Yes	731.28	0.8%	$6	Dec 11, 1:17 AM UTC
flow-trader-at-optiver	Yes	673.33	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	223.99	0.1%	$0.22
PredictiveMarkets	Yes	165.26	1.8%	$3	Dec 10, 4:30 PM UTC
EdwardLewis	Yes	120	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 7:36 AM UTC
shine	Yes	90	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 7:36 AM UTC
Deafening-Possible	Yes	70	0.1%	$0.07
itsjustcheddar	Yes	40	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
Liamyxy	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
Harbest	Yes	13.99	0.1%	$0.01
t189	Yes	12	4.0%	$0.48
u-235	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
tryhard75	Yes	2	0.0%	$0
paspor	Yes	1.18	0.0%	$0	Dec 9, 11:02 AM UTC

19 of 19 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$118.43K
DooBieZ	$0.02
wokerjoesleeper	$0