Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 15?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$55.9K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	118.43K	0.0%	$0
0x99db	Yes	2.73K	3.6%	$98.06
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	2K	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 2:45 PM UTC
IamHakunaMatata	Yes	1.74K	2.5%	$43.41	Dec 10, 10:04 PM UTC
0x601d	Yes	1.7K	2.9%	$50	Dec 11, 6:49 AM UTC
Pretty-Spur	Yes	1.01K	0.8%	$8.03	Dec 10, 8:49 PM UTC
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	928	0.1%	$0.93
VincentQV	Yes	750	2.7%	$20.25	Dec 10, 9:44 AM UTC
Ruddy-Quotation	Yes	499.99	0.2%	$1	Dec 10, 6:27 PM UTC
TheHeretic	Yes	417.74	1.2%	$5	Dec 11, 11:05 AM UTC
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	224	0.1%	$0.22
iowergoweijfwoeifj	Yes	199.98	0.5%	$1	Dec 11, 3:35 AM UTC
cashdollar	Yes	189.57	1.6%	$3	Dec 11, 1:41 AM UTC
PredictiveMarkets	Yes	171.75	1.2%	$2	Dec 10, 4:42 PM UTC
0xRocket666	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15
SoftG	Yes	117.75	1.7%	$2	Dec 11, 2:36 PM UTC
ForrestDump	Yes	99.99	2.2%	$2.2	Dec 11, 11:29 AM UTC
Heavy-Savage	Yes	81	1.3%	$1.05
Annual-Dependent	Yes	63.36	1.3%	$0.79
Tsuyi	Yes	62.35	1.6%	$1	Dec 11, 5:06 AM UTC
Closed-Expansionism	Yes	56.96	1.8%	$1	Dec 11, 9:03 AM UTC
eremei	Yes	45.45	2.2%	$1	Dec 11, 12:06 PM UTC
EVProphet	Yes	34.48	2.9%	$1	Dec 11, 5:55 PM UTC
TinderBoy	Yes	34	2.0%	$0.67
Xedr	Yes	33.19	3.0%	$1	Dec 10, 11:56 PM UTC
EdwardLewis	Yes	30	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 7:36 AM UTC
Deafening-Possible	Yes	28	0.1%	$0.03
Mohsenslh	Yes	25	4.0%	$1	Dec 10, 8:35 AM UTC
itsjustcheddar	Yes	20	0.0%	$0	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
rocketcrypto	Yes	11.99	1.0%	$0.12
u-235	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
tryhard75	Yes	2	0.0%	$0