Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 43 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 22 May 2026.
The high was 49.5% on 22 May 2026 and the low 3.9% on 29 Jun 2026. A week ago Yes was at 5.8%; a month ago, 5.3%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 12% on 18 Jun 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?”.
$1.15K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $6.48K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 60 trades, $29.12 bought Yes and $271.49 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 105 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 267.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 2:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 141 points · 22 May 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 49.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 266.72 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 105.1 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 98.3 |
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-openai-raise-in-its-ipo
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 80 |
| AJSV | No | 68.95 |
| liq2 | Yes | 20 |
| Bojigle | Yes | 10 |
| Crimson Kestrel EEA2 | Yes | 6.19 |
| ma99 | Yes | 5 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 4.64 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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