Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 15 Jul 2025, the highest close was 40% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 20.5% on 15 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 27.5% on 13 Jul 2025. $35.33K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 15 Jul 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 40.0% |
| 15 Jul 2025 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.75K |
| drunkonpappy | Yes | 5.8K |
| gatorade | Yes | 1.26K |
| futureknower1 | Yes | 900 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025 T-Mobile MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 14, 2025. If the listed player wins the 2025 T-Mobile MLB Home Run Derby, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025 T-Mobile MLB Home Run Derby is canceled or postponed past August 1, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be MLB.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| mensch | Yes | 434.78 |
| Frozen-Stepgrandfather | Yes | 250 |
| kythink | Yes | 125 |
| lissartter | Yes | 68.75 |
| choi199306 | Yes | 65.83 |
| Whaleman2 | Yes | 43.48 |
