Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 51% on 24 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2025, the highest close was 100% on 30 Sep 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 25 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 86.5% on 28 Sep 2025. $16.32K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Sep 2025 – 30 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2025 | 51.0% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Leiox | No | 10K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.1K |
| Lazlo1 | No | 1K |
| LukeGamma | No | 499.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to how much more “One Battle After Another” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend compared against "Gabby’s Dollhouse: The Movie" (2025). The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "One Battle After Another" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/One-Battle-After-Another-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Gabby’s Dollhouse: The Movie” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Gabbys-Dollhouse-The-Movie-(2025)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (September 26 - September 28) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If “One Battle After Another” (2025) does not gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "Gabby’s Dollhouse: The Movie" (2025), this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-more-does-one-battle-after-another-gross-than-gabbys-dollhouse
| lissartter | No | 174.82 |
| Strider72 | No | 40 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
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