Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 25% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 31 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 4% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 7.5% on 22 Mar 2026. $26.57K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 10:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 31 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 25.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-olivia-rodrigo-announce-a-new-album-by
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 20.01 |
| pmnewmm | Yes | 20 |
| 0xMIX | Yes | 15 |
| spodkaposk | Yes | 11.25 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 10 |
| raymon1 | Yes | 10 |
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