Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jun 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48.5%. Yes opened at 75% on 5 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 5 May 2023 to 27 Jun 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.5% on 21 Jun 2023 and the lowest 48.5% on 27 Jun 2023. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 48.5% on 27 Jun 2023. $6.15K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 4:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 5 May 2023 – 27 Jun 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2023 | 75.0% |
| 27 Jun 2023 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Plain-Pilot | No | 162.57 |
| Zolo | No | 142.86 |
| Composed-Beach | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election is scheduled to take place on Monday, June 26, 2023. This is a market asking who will be the ultimate victor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Olivia Chow wins the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from the government of Canada/Toronto (e.g. https://www.toronto.ca/city-government/elections/election-results-reports/election-results/by-election-results/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-olivia-chow-win-the-2023-toronto-mayoral-by-election
| No |
| 1.99 |
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