Will Olga Sustanova win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$703.8K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 28, 2025 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 28 Jan 2025, the highest close was 6.5% on 13 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 0.5% on 14 Dec 2024. $703.79K traded over the market's life.

53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 7:11 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 28 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Dec 2024	6.5%
28 Jan 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	193.45K
sosat	Yes	9.49K
nddgqwxxad9	Yes	1.31K

10 of 53 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Belarus on January 26, 2025. If no candidate achieves a majority, a second round of elections will be scheduled between the top two candidates. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Olga Sustanova wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Belarusian Government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Цэнтральная выбарчая камісія Беларусі, CEC) (https://www.rec.gov.by/en/).