Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 37 points from 41% when the market opened on 7 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.2%; a month before, 5.3%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 24.5% on 11 Aug 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner”.
$1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $340.49, with a 7.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 39 trades, $12.35 bought Yes and $496.37 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Tuomionmursu with 287 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 905. Ten wallets hold 97% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 41.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 905.41 |
| Tuomionmursu | Yes | 287.3 |
| MemeLoverOfficial | Yes | 225 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-casting-winner-1754500000000
5 more markets, none above 0.2%.
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 120.04 |
| AIbubble | Yes | 74.4 |
| Hoarse-Garb | Yes | 55.09 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 47.64 |
| hesure | Yes | 16 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 15 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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