Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.7%. Yes opened at 72% on 22 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2024 to 26 Jul 2024, the highest close was 94.7% on 26 Jul 2024 and the lowest 72% on 22 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 84% on 23 Jul 2024. $932.28K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 10:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 22 Jul 2024 – 26 Jul 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2024 | 72.0% |
| 26 Jul 2024 | 94.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| politik | No | 75K |
| olympus | No | 30.5K |
| retar-dio | No | 2.54K |
| Grandiose-Mood | No | 2.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama announces that he formally endorses Kamala Harris as Democratic Nominee for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Obama endorses another candidate for Democratic Nominee, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barack Obama or one of his representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-endorse-kamala
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| jxkefield | No | 1.24K |
| Evergreen-Furnace | No | 791.14 |
| qrad | No | 312.94 |
| 47Ronin | No | 170 |
| Rockford-976 | No | 161.29 |
| auggie | No | 133.39 |
