Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 27.5% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 9.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $41.42K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.26K |
| Mrpres1dent | Yes | 3.39K |
| bonsai | Yes | 1.79K |
| rated | Yes | 1.6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-nvidia-nvda-close-at-in-2025
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.24K |
| Forthright-Thigh | Yes | 599.98 |
| 0516 | Yes | 527.04 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| 666c | Yes | 453.78 |
| deezytrading | Yes | 431.81 |
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