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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 150 |
| $0.230 |
| $34.5 |
| May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 40.63 | $0.140 | $5.69 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 212.72 | $0.110 | $23.4 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 220 | $0.860 | $189.2 | May 27, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething | sell | 220 | $0.130 | $28.6 | May 27, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.080 | $0.56 | May 27, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 216.41 | $0.090 | $19.48 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.750 | $52.5 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on January 11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.029 | $0.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 289.69 | $0.190 | $55.04 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?Yes | buy | 22.98 | $0.130 | $2.99 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 34.07 | $0.620 | $21.12 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 15.68 | $0.640 | $10.04 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.640 | $17.29 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 51.91 | $0.630 | $32.7 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 135 | $0.640 | $86.4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 86.49 | $0.650 | $56.22 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 245.5 | $0.659 | $161.67 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.010 | $0.92 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 20.78 | $0.700 | $14.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 96.6 | $0.873 | $84.33 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?Yes | buy | 24.68 | $0.210 | $5.18 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 203.89 | $0.893 | $182.06 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 431.81 | $0.710 | $306.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 89.02 | $0.542 | $48.26 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.016 | $0.56 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 103.66 | $0.014 | $1.45 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.38K | $0.870 | $1.2K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 182.58 | $0.380 | $69.38 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 244.9 | $0.978 | $239.51 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?Yes | sell | 124.04 | $0.002 | $0.25 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 211 | $0.004 | $0.82 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close at $265–280 in 2025?Yes | buy | 214.16 | $0.003 | $0.64 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at $250–265 in 2025?Yes | buy | 214.16 | $0.001 | $0.21 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$250 in 2025?Yes | buy | 214.16 | $0.001 | $0.21 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?Yes | buy | 773.42 | $0.299 | $231.53 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?Yes | buy | 124.04 | $0.180 | $22.35 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.11 | $0.330 | $22.48 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.11 | $0.180 | $12.26 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.148 | $8.88 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.150 | $15.3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.148 | $184.15 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?Yes | buy | 485 | $0.239 | $116.15 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.210 | $20.16 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170–175 in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.050 | $7.49 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.119 | $17.9 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170–175 in 2025?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.059 | $0.77 | Dec 26, 2025 |