Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 26% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 31 Aug 2026, the highest close was 26% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.5% on 16 Aug 2026. $621.66 traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 6:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 26.0% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.43K |
| azu1005 | Yes | 158 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-agent-lab-end-of-august-20260812152114055
| Yes |
| 109.35 |
| balthazar | Yes | 89.72 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 52.03 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 47.31 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 10 |
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