
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.4%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2026 to 31 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 10% on 3 Mar 2026. $34.55K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 9:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 26 Feb 2026 – 31 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 3.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 980.06 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| cassino | Yes | 498.1 |
| Limping-Markup | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-nvda-hit-in-march-2026
| PrimePenguin | Yes | 380 |
| Impure-Contour | Yes | 179.8 |
| Crazy-Miss | Yes | 99.45 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 46.75 |
| lilnut | Yes | 45.99 |
| forcaster1 | Yes | 39.48 |
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