Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026?

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

10.5%

89.5%

Buy Yes 10.5¢Buy No 89.5¢

24h Volume

$876

Total volume

$876

Liquidity

$840

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Where it stands

Yes is at 10.5%, down 3 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.

The high was 56% on 2 Jul 2026 and the low 9% on 23 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 10.5%; a month ago, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 49.5% on 30 Jun 2026.

December 31, 2026 ranks fifth of the 5 outcomes in “Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?”. December 31, 2027 leads at 25%; September 30, 2027 is at 23.5%.

$875.84 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $840.33, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 158 trades, $3.3 bought Yes and $402.31 bought No.

The largest Yes position is Unfortunate-Particle with 204 shares; the largest No position is zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz with 111.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 84 days from now.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 8:19 AM UTC

Trade

buy Yes· 10.5¢

Open in terminal$875.84 24h vol

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 104 points · 27 Jun 2026 – 9 Oct 2026

All outcomes

Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Unfortunate-Particle	Yes	204.19
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz	No	110.74
pd.unique	No	100

Rules

What settles this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nous Research officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Nous Research will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nous Research (https://x.com/NousResearch), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nous-research-launch-a-token-by

Dates

Event starts

Jun 26, 2026 UTC

Now

Live observation

Trading closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Event starts

Analytics

Where it stands

Yes is at 10.5%, down 3 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.

The high was 56% on 2 Jul 2026 and the low 9% on 23 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 10.5%; a month ago, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 49.5% on 30 Jun 2026.

December 31, 2026 ranks fifth of the 5 outcomes in “Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?”. December 31, 2027 leads at 25%; September 30, 2027 is at 23.5%.

$875.84 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $840.33, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 158 trades, $3.3 bought Yes and $402.31 bought No.

The largest Yes position is Unfortunate-Particle with 204 shares; the largest No position is zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz with 111.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 84 days from now.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 8:19 AM UTC

Trader

Outcome

Unfortunate-Particle

Yes

204.19

zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

110.74

pd.unique

100