Resolved No on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 7 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 16 Aug 2026, the highest close was 4.5% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Aug 2026. $924.21 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4.5% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.32K |
| korda77 | Yes | 557.82 |
| Shocking-Bowler | Yes | 512.16 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 309.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the region of the team that wins The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Each team's region is determined by the region under which it is listed on Liquipedia's Dota 2 Teams Portal (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Portal:Teams) as of the conclusion of the event. The recognized regions are those used on that page: Europe, CIS, China, Southeast Asia, North America, and South America. This market resolves to the region under which the team that wins the Grand Final is listed on the Teams Portal. If the winning team is not listed on the Teams Portal, its region will be determined by the regional affiliation on the team's own Liquipedia page. If The International 2026 is canceled or no champion is crowned by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source will be Liquipedia's Dota 2 Teams Portal (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Portal:Teams); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-international-2026-winning-region-20260805215811238
| Goodw1n | Yes | 103.05 |
| hitunfar | Yes | 86.41 |
| balthazar | Yes | 33.2 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 22 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
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