Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 7% on 4 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2026 to 11 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 7% on 4 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 11 Apr 2026. $32.08K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 7:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Apr 2026 – 11 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | 7.0% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.2K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Jade Pulse 30D3 | Yes | 500 |
| Emerald Falcon EC9C | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest. “Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify. If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”. The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams. The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius. This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable. All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/). Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/live/vMW-S6ZoYgY
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 85.29 |
| a5tthsyuo3c | Yes | 66.89 |
| zabaniya6666 | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| p3eFbv0H3b | Yes | 40.48 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-first-eaglet-hatch
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