Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 14 Mar 2026.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 8:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 43.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 286.03 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 150 |
| hotpato | Yes | 24.25 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 20.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the named individual who holds the #1 rank position on officialchadrankings.com on March 20, 2026, 12:00PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be officialchadrankings.com. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-1-chad-on-march-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| daroghi | Yes | 19.05 |
| Scornful-Conductor | No | 0.01 |
