Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 67.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 15 Jul 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 14 Jul 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 32.5% on 15 Jul 2026. $29.37K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 9:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 15 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 27.5% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.85K |
| cryptopetrucho | Yes | 949.67 |
| balthazar | Yes | 511.76 |
| Aged-Houseboat | Yes | 215 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the brand producing the shirt worn by the Champion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the winner wears more than one brand during the World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which brand was worn by the winner within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be photos or videos from the World Cup Final, or official media from the brand and/or winning team.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-shirt-manufacturer-worn-by-champion-20260623192343445
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